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Modeling & Mitigating Insider Risk

Insider threats pose significant challenges to organizational security. The Modeling & Mitigating Insider Risk (MINR) mission area emphasizes the importance of modeling and analyzing human behavior to identify potential insider risks before they manifest. ARLIS conducts comprehensive assessments and develops predictive models that inform strategies for risk mitigation. By understanding the factors that contribute to insider threats, ARLIS equips organizations with the knowledge and tools needed to foster a secure environment, enhancing both individual and organizational resilience.

Project

In 2023, the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence and Security (OUSD[I&S]) asked ARLIS to recommend how they might strengthen the Counterintelligence (CI) Awareness and Reporting (CIAR) program’s effectiveness. Department of Defense (DoD) Directive 5240.06 requires DoD components to provide CIAR education and training to all personnel to increase awareness of and reporting on Foreign Intelligence Entity (FIE) threats and methods of infiltration. An effective CIAR program is foundational to this endeavor.

  1. The research in this project revealed CI professionals performing their CIAR responsibilities:
  2. Instinctively know how to best communicate to their audience, yet relatively few do it well;
  3. Should pay more attention to threats presented online;
  4. Should implement shorter lessons because it improves retention;
  5. Should understand reasons personnel do not report because this is the first step to engaging with less responsive audiences;
  6. Should establish a standard DoD template for reporting threats; and
  7. Should set standards for what qualifies a trained briefer.

This project concluded successfully in 2024.

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